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Archive for January 2nd, 2008

We are home schoolers. Nothing could be more important to us than the importance of protecting and encouraging competition with our monopolized school system. However, there is a great danger in just selling out to anyone or anything. My degree is in secondary education. Nothing can be more indoctrinating than the entire public school education, beginning with the buckets of socialist sludge that is dished up in teacher training in universities all across America. The NEA is on the same level as the ACLU as far as I’m concerned. Pandering to the NEA is utter bottom-feeding and reveals the complete lack of ethics and values of Mike Huckabee.

From World Net Daily,  Joseph Farah, Between the Lines

Homeschoolers beware!

I take a back seat to no one in my admiration of home schoolers.

I am a homeschooler myself.

As I have written in my book “Taking America Back,” I believe the homeschool movement is the vanguard of what could be a peaceful, social and cultural revolution that will restore morality, justice and freedom in our country.

That’s why I want to issue a warning to homeschoolers today: Don’t sell out to a presidential candidate too fast or too cheaply.

A Washington Post report suggests homeschoolers are throwing their support to Mike Huckabee in big numbers. While I think there is much to like about Huckabee, there are some major concerns as well.

One of those concerns is his education policy – specifically, the role of the federal government.One of those concerns is his education policy – specifically, the role of the federal government.

Read more at World Net Daily...

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January 02, 2008
Read More: Huckabee

Rush: Huck ‘not a conservative’

Rush Limbaugh devoted a large portion of his first show since the holidays to criticizing Mike Huckabee’s candidacy and offering a disapproving bottom-line assessment of the former governor.

“Ladies and gentlemen, Gov. Huckabee, mighty fine man and is a great Christian, is not a conservative, he’s just not,” Limbaugh said. “If you look at his record as governor, he’s got some conservative tendencies on things but he’s certainly not the most conservative of the candidates running on the Republican side.”

From Jonathin Martin at Politico – Rush: Huck ‘not a conservative’

Limbaugh’s comments come after a long-distance back-and-forth between the candidate and influential talk show host before Christmas.

Despite his criticism, Limbaugh said he didn’t want to use the entire program to bash Huckabee.

“I’m going to keep some of the powder dry here because I don’t want to be accused of piling on,” Limbaugh said, “but if people are going to ask me questions I’m not going to shirk from them and try to hem-haw around.”

Read more at Politico

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“He Has Agreed To Be Part of the Group”
Gov. Huckabee Claims Foreign Policy Advisers Who Aren’t Advising Him

No Laughing Matter: A serious look at Gov. Mike Huckabee’s record and policy beyond the one-liners.

  • Gov. Mike Huckabee: “And the ultimate thing is, I may not be the expert that some people are on foreign policy, but I did stay in a Holiday Inn Express last night.” (WABC Radio’s “Imus In The Morning,” 12/4/07)
  • National Review: “The Holiday Inn Express Candidate.” “In sum, conservatives should have worries about the depth and soundness of Mike Huckabee’s foreign-policy views. And staying at a Holiday Inn Express is not going to be enough to allay them.” (Editorial, “The Holiday Inn Express Candidate,” National Review, 12/10/07)

Confronted With Misstatements On Foreign Policy, Gov. Huckabee Insists He Is Authentic And Honest:

Gov. Huckabee Says That People Are Looking For “Authenticity” And “Honesty.” NBC’s LESTER HOLT: “But can you afford those kind of misstatements when the spotlight is on you and people are looking for credible foreign policy credentials?” GOV. MIKE HUCKABEE: “What they’re looking for is authenticity, they’re looking for honesty.” (NBC’s “Today,” 12/29/07; www.msnbc.msn.com)

Yet, Gov. Huckabee Continues To Insist He Is Being Advised By Former Ambassador John Bolton:

On Thursday, Gov. Huckabee Said That Ambassador John Bolton Had Agreed To Help Him Formulate Foreign Policy. “At a Thursday evening news conference, Huckabee said, ‘I’ve corresponded with John Bolton, who’s agreed to work with us on developing foreign policy.'” (Lisa Lerer, “Huckabee’s Foreign Affairs Lapses,” The Politico, 12/29/07)

On Friday Morning, Gov. Huckabee Said That He Had Spoken With Amb. Bolton About Foreign Policy. “On Friday morning, Huckabee listed former U.N. Ambassador John Bolton as someone with whom he either has ‘spoken or will continue to speak.'” (Lisa Lerer, “Huckabee’s Foreign Affairs Lapses,” The Politico, 12/29/07)

By Friday Evening, Amb. Bolton Said He Hadn’t Spoken With Huckabee, Nor Agreed To Be His Adviser. “Bolton, however, has a different view. ‘I’d be happy to speak with Huckabee, but I haven’t spoken with him yet,’ said Bolton, now a senior fellow at the American Enterprise Institute, a conservative think tank in Washington. ‘I’m not an official or unofficial adviser to anyone,’ said Bolton, who mentioned he’d had conversations with other Republican candidates but declined to name any names.” (Lisa Lerer, “Huckabee’s Foreign Affairs Lapses,” The Politico, 12/29/07)

On Saturday Afternoon, Gov. Huckabee Was Still Claiming That Amb. Bolton Had Agreed To Be His Adviser. REPORTER: “Governor, you mentioned John Bolton as someone who is helping you to shape your foreign policy proposals. He says he hasn’t had communications or conversations with you. And he wasn’t the only person who you mentioned in your list of people you have talked to, to get advice from, who have said they haven’t spoken to you. Can you clear that up?” GOV. MIKE HUCKABEE: “Well, I had an e-mail exchange with John Bolton, and he has agreed to be a part of the group. He has not endorsed me. he has not indicated he would be supporting my candidacy, but he is one of many people who would be willing to have conversations. And we did have that e-mail exchange.” (Gov. Mike Huckabee, Press Conference, 12/29/07; www.youtube.com/watch?v=R8A6KCXwgv8)

Gov. Huckabee Also Wrongly Claimed Former National Security Adviser Richard Allen Is Advising Him:

“Huckabee Said He Had Also Spoken With… Former National Security Adviser Richard Allen.” “Huckabee said he had also spoken with former State Department official Richard Haass (now president of the Council on Foreign Relations); military analyst Ken Allard; former national security adviser Richard Allen; former House Speaker Newt Gingrich; Frank Gaffney, founder of the Center for Security Policy, a conservative think tank; and a ‘number of military personnel.'” (Lisa Lerer, “Huckabee’s Foreign Affairs Lapses,” The Politico, 12/29/07)

Yet, Allen Also Says He Has Not Spoken With Gov. Huckabee. “Reached via e-mail, Allen said an intermediary asked him to speak with Huckabee, but he hadn’t yet agreed. ‘I’m gradually getting older, but am fully capable of recalling with whom I have spoken,’ said the former Nixon and Reagan foreign policy campaign adviser.” (Lisa Lerer, “Huckabee’s Foreign Affairs Lapses,” The Politico, 12/29/07)

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The city of New York, quite frankly, is quite tolerant of undocumented immigration and this shouldn’t surprise you because I’ve been the Mayor for a long time and outspoken on this issue, even nationally, I happen to agree with that. I think New York City should not deal with undocumented immigrants in a harsh way, I think they make a big contribution to the life of the city and were much better off being sensible and practical about it. And the reality is that restaurants are going to have a certain number of people who are undocumented, you know people that come here to make a living trying to help them selves and their families.”– Mayor Rudy Giuliani (WABC Radio’s “Live From City Hall…With Rudy Giuliani,” 9/7/01)

“The city of New York, quite frankly, is quite tolerant of undocumented immigration and this shouldn’t surprise you because I’ve been the Mayor for a long time and outspoken on this issue, even nationally, I happen to agree with that.” – Mayor Rudy Giuliani (WABC Radio’s “Live From City Hall…With Rudy Giuliani,” 9/7/01)

 

 

A New Giuliani Campaign Ad Discusses The Issue Of Illegal Immigration:

The Giuliani Campaign Has Released A New Ad Complaining About Illegal Immigration. MAYOR GIULIANI “People are frustrated over immigration because the government has been talking about solving this for twenty or twenty-five years, and it’s just gotten worse. What we need here is leadership.” (Rudy Giuliani Presidential Committee, “Rudy Giuliani Campaign Launches New Television Ad in New Hampshire,” Press Release, 12/13/07)

But As Mayor, Giuliani Was “Quite Tolerant” Of Illegal Immigration:

In 2001, Mayor Giuliani Boasted That New York City Was “Quite Tolerant Of Undocumented Immigration.” GIULIANI: “The city of New York, quite frankly, is quite tolerant of undocumented immigration and this shouldn’t surprise you because I’ve been the Mayor for a long time and outspoken on this issue, even nationally, I happen to agree with that. I think New York City should not deal with undocumented immigrants in a harsh way, I think they make a big contribution to the life of the city and were much better off being sensible and practical about it. And the reality is that restaurants are going to have a certain number of people who are undocumented, you know people that come here to make a living trying to help them selves and their families.” (WABC Radio’s “Live From City Hall…With Rudy Giuliani,” 9/7/01, www.youtube.com/watch?v=QhS-Ic9JohM)

Mayor Giuliani Welcomed Illegal Immigrants To New York City:

Mayor Giuliani Actually Invited More Illegal Immigrants To Come To New York City. “[Mr. Giuliani said,] ‘If you come here and you work hard and you happen to be in an undocumented status, you’re one of the people who we want in this city. You’re somebody that we want to protect, and we want you to get out from under what is often a life of being like a fugitive, which is really unfair.'” (Deborah Sontag, “New York Officials Welcome Immigrants, Legal Or Illegal,” The New York Times, 6/10/94)

Mayor Giuliani Ran New York City With A Sanctuary State Of Mind:

ABC News: “Giuliani Inherited The [Sanctuary] Policy, He Reissued It And Seemed To Embrace It.” “New York became a sanctuary city, where illegal immigrants enjoy some measure of protection, through an executive order signed by Mayor Ed Koch in 1989, five years before Giuliani became mayor in January 1994. But if Giuliani inherited the policy, he reissued it and seemed to embrace it.” (Jake Tapper and Ron Claiborne, “Romney: Giuliani’s NYC ‘Sanctuary’ For Illegal Immigrants,” ABC News, 8/8/07)

A 1997 New York Daily News Editorial Blasted Mayor Giuliani For Not Supporting Federal Immigration Laws. “Mayor Giuliani is actually suing the federal government to be relieved of the requirement that city workers turn over information about illegal immigrants to the Immigration and Naturalization Service. At City University, undocumented aliens qualify for the low resident tuition if they’ve lived here for a year. And just last week, the mayor announced that immigrants applying for marriage licenses couldn’t be turned away even if their visas had expired.” (Editorial, “Not All Immigrants Are Equal,” [New York] Daily News, 3/23/97)

  • Daily News: Under Mayor Giuliani, “Illegal” Didn’t Have Any Meaning. “But at the same time, federal immigration laws must be enforced strictly. For no nation can allow its borders to be violated with impunity. And state and local governments must help. In New York, that means making the adjective ‘illegal’ mean something when it appears before the word ‘immigrant.’ … In other words, legal or illegal, the law makes no distinction. Then what’s the law for? (Editorial, “Not All Immigrants Are Equal,” [New York] Daily News, 3/23/97)

 

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Vote Allowed Illegals Who Were Granted Amnesty To Collect Benefits On Work They Did While In This Country Illegally

“The whole thrust of this legislation is to give them not only Social Security benefits but, as importantly, the protections under the law… That is why we are going through this process of letting them earn citizenship.” – Sen. John McCain, 2006 (Sen. John McCain, Congressional Record, 5/18/06, p. S4745)

To read Sen. McCain’s support of retroactive Social Security after amnesty, see the Congressional Record here: http://frwebgate.access.gpo.gov/cgi-bin/getpage.cgi?dbname=2006_record&page=S4745&position=all

In His Own Word, Sen. McCain Arguing For Social Security Benefits For Illegals:

Sen. McCain: “The Whole Thrust Of This Legislation Is To Give Them Not Only Social Security Benefits…” SEN. MCCAIN: “Mr. President, very briefly, of course, they didn’t expect to receive benefits they had to pay into the system because they were here illegally. The whole thrust of this legislation is to give them not only Social Security benefits but, as importantly, the protections under the law, as they now live in the shadows and are exploited and mistreated in many cases. Of course, they didn’t expect to. That is why we are going through this process of letting them earn citizenship.” (Sen. John McCain, Congressional Record, 5/18/06, p. S4745)

Sen. McCain: Stated His “Strong Opposition To The Ensign Amendment.” SEN. MCCAIN: “Mr. President, I rise in strong opposition to the Ensign amendment. Under current law, undocumented immigrants are ineligible for Social Security benefits which I think is entirely appropriate. But we all know that millions of undocumented immigrants pay Social Security and Medicare taxes for years and sometimes decades while they work to contribute to our economy.” (Sen. John McCain, Congressional Record, 5/18/06, p. S4744)

Sen. McCain: Ensign Amendment Would “Undermine The Work” Of Illegal Workers. SEN. MCCAIN: “The Ensign amendment would undermine the work of these people by preventing lawfully present immigrant workers from claiming Social Security benefits that they earned before they were authorized to work in our country.” (Sen. John McCain, Congressional Record, 5/18/06, p. S4744)

Sen. McCain: “If This Amendment Is Enacted, The Nest Egg That These Immigrants Have Worked Hard For Would Be Taken From Them And Their Families.” (Sen. John McCain, Congressional Record, 5/18/06, p. S4744)

Sen. McCain: “It Is Fundamentally Unfair” To Disqualify The Taxes Paid By Illegal Immigrants. SEN. MCCAIN: “It pains me to disagree with my good friend from Nevada on this matter, but I believe the amendment is wrong. It is fundamentally unfair to collect taxes from these workers and then disqualify the taxes paid once the workers achieve legal taxes.” (Sen. John McCain, Congressional Record, 5/18/06, p. S4744)

Sen. McCain: Immigrants “Should Be Able To Depend” On Social Security Benefits They Accrued While Working Illegally. SEN. MCCAIN: “I believe instead of supporting the amendment, we should stand for the principle that people who worked and paid into the Social Security system for years should be able to depend on their retirement income to which they contributed.” (Sen. John McCain, Congressional Record, 5/18/06, p. S4744)

Sen. McCain Argued That It Would Cost The Government More If They Did Not Give Social Security Benefits To Immigrants Who Worked Illegally. SEN. MCCAIN: “What about the fiscal consequences of the amendment? I submit that if Social Security is not available in the future for immigrants, that when they retire or become disabled, then State and local governments and potentially the Federal Government will be forced to absorb significant costs as the Federal Government has refused to provide services and supports paid for by tax dollars of millions of legal immigrants. This amendment would simply continue this trend.” (Sen. John McCain, Congressional Record, 5/18/06, p. S4744)

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Vote Allowed Illegals Who Were Granted Amnesty To Collect Benefits On Work They Did While In This Country Illegally

“It makes no sense to reward millions of illegal immigrants for criminal behavior while our Social Security system is already in crisis. … Why in the world would we endorse this criminal activity with federal benefits?” – Sen. Jim DeMint (R-SC) (Charles Hurt, “Illegals Granted Social Security,” The Washington Times, 5/19/06)

In 2006, Sen. McCain Voted To Allow Illegals To Collect Social Security For Work Done While Illegal:

Sen. McCain Joined Sens. Clinton And Obama In Voting To Give Retroactive Social Security Benefits To Illegal Immigrants Who Would Be Granted Amnesty. “Specter, R-Pa., motion to table (kill) the Ensign, R-Nev., amendment no. 3985 that would bar illegal immigrants currently in the country from claiming Social Security credits for work done in years before they are assigned a valid Social Security number.” (S. 2611, CQ Vote #130: Motion Agreed To 50-49: R 11-44; D 38-5; I 1-0, 5/18/06, Clinton, McCain, And Obama Voted Yea)

UPI: “Illegal Aliens Could Collect Social Security Benefits Based On Past Illegal Employment.” “Illegal aliens could collect Social Security benefits based on past illegal employment if a U.S. Senate bill passed Thursday becomes law. That would be the case even if the job was obtained through forged or stolen documents…” (“Senate Votes Social Security For Illegals,” United Press International, 5/19/06)

“The Senate Voted Yesterday To Allow Illegal Aliens To Collect Social Security Benefits Based On Past Illegal Employment – Even If The Job Was Obtained Through Forged Or Stolen Documents.” (Charles Hurt, “Illegals Granted Social Security,” The Washington Times, 5/19/06)

Sen. McCain Defended Giving Retroactive Social Security Benefits For Illegal Work:

Sen. McCain: “It Would Be Wrong To Deny Hardworking Men And Women Credit For All The Dollars They’ve Paid Into Social Security From Their Often Meager Wages.” (Dena Bunis, “Guest-Worker Provision Survives,” Orange County Register, 5/19/06)

  • “‘We all know that millions of undocumented immigrants pay Social Security and Medicare taxes for years and sometimes decades while they work to contribute to our economy,’ said Sen. John McCain, R-Ariz.” (“Senate Votes Social Security For Illegals,” United Press International, 5/19/06)

Conservative Republican Senators Fought Against Rewarding Illegal Behavior:

Sen. Chuck Grassley (R-IA): The Bill Gave “Social Security To Illegal Aliens.” “Social Security to illegal aliens. Under the bill, illegal aliens are not prohibited from getting credit for the money they’ve put into the Social Security system if they’ve worked in the U.S. illegally.  Illegal immigrants who paid Social Security taxes using a stolen Social Security Number did not do so with the expectation that they would ever qualify for Social Security benefits. (The Ensign amendment would have taken care of this, but it did not pass.)” (Sen. Chuck Grassley, “Grassley Unveils Top 10 Flaws With Amnesty And Guest Worker Of Comprehensive Immigration Reform Bill,” Press Release, 5/23/06; http://grassley.senate.gov/)

Sen. Jim DeMint (R-SC): “It Makes No Sense To Reward Millions Of Illegal Immigrants For Criminal Behavior While Our Social Security System Is Already In Crisis.” “‘It makes no sense to reward millions of illegal immigrants for criminal behavior while our Social Security system is already in crisis,’ said Sen. Jim DeMint, South Carolina Republican. ‘Why in the world would we endorse this criminal activity with federal benefits? The Senate missed a big opportunity to improve this bill, and I doubt American seniors will be pleased with the result.'” (Charles Hurt, “Illegals Granted Social Security,” The Washington Times, 5/19/06)

  • Sen. Jim DeMint (R-SC): “It’s like giving someone who stole your credit card everything they bought until they get caught. And it’s just not a good amendment at all. Obviously, I was trying to stop this, and I think we will stop it when we meet the House with this bill.” (Fox News’ “The Big Story,” 5/19/06)

Sen. John Ensign (R-NV): “‘It’s That Illegal Conduct That They Will Be Allowed To Use To Qualify For Social Security.” “Senators also blocked an effort to deny Social Security benefits to legalized immigrants for work they performed while they were illegal or which they obtained through identity theft. ‘It’s that illegal conduct that they will be allowed to use to qualify for Social Security,’ said Sen. John Ensign, R-Nev., who tried to limit Social Security payments.” (Gebe Martinez, “The Immigration Debate,” The Houston Chronicle, 5/19/06)

  • Sen. John Ensign (R-NV): “‘There was a felony they were committing, and now they can’t be prosecuted. That sounds like amnesty to me,’ said Sen. John Ensign, the Nevada Republican who offered the amendment yesterday to strip out those provisions of the immigration reform bill. ‘It just boggles the mind how people could be against this amendment.'” (Charles Hurt, “Illegals Granted Social Security,” The Washington Times, 5/19/06)

Sen. Tom Coburn (R-OK) Said The Bill Would Allow Illegals “To Use Their Past Illegal Work To Qualify For Social Security Benefits.” “Top Ten Reasons to Oppose The Senate Amnesty Bill… 6. Social Security Benefits, Tax Credits for Illegal Work … The Senate rejected Senator Ensign’s amendment that would have prevented Social Security benefits from being awarded to immigrants for time that they worked illegally in the United States.  If the immigration compromise bill before the Senate were enacted into law, an estimated 12 million illegal workers would be able to use their past illegal work to qualify for Social Security benefits.” (Sen. Tom Coburn, “Dr. Coburn Votes Against Senate Amnesty,” Press Release, 5/25/06; http://coburn.senate.gov)

Sen. John Cornyn (R-TX) Said The Bill Allowed Social Security To Those Who “Stole Identifies To Work In The United States Illegally.” “Below are the key problems that remain in the Senate immigration bill, S. 2611… Rewards illegal document fraud by allowing Social Security payments for those who stole identities to work in the United States illegally.” (Sen. John Cornyn, “Cornyn Statement On Senate Immigration Bill Passage,” Press Release, 5/25/06)

Sen. Elizabeth Dole (R-NC) Said The Bill Would Allow Illegal Immigrants “To Accumulate And Collect” Social Security Benefits. “In addition, this bill contains a number of provisions that just defy common sense, such as allowing illegal immigrants who fraudulently use a U.S. citizen’s Social Security number to accumulate and collect benefits from an already tight Social Security trust fund!” (Sen. Elizabeth Dole, “Dole Opposes Immigration Reform Bill With Amnesty,” Press Release, 5/25/06)

Sen. Jeff Sessions (R-AL): Illegal Aliens Are “Not Entitled” To Draw Social Security. “Sometimes you have to make decisions. Somebody who came here illegally and worked illegally and submitted an illegal Social Security number is not entitled to draw on the Treasury of the United States.” (Sen. Jeff Sessions, “Senator Sessions On The Ensign Amendment,” Press Release, 5/18/06, http://sessions.senate.gov)

The Measure Angered Conservatives:

Conservative Economist Stephen Moore: “I Do Not Think They Should Be Eligible For Social Security Until They Start Working Here Legally.” MOORE: “I’m very much in favor of immigration. But I don’t think that illegal immigrants should be rewarded for the time they were working in the United States when they were illegal … And so I do not think they should be eligible for Social Security until they start working here legally.” (CNBC’s “Kudlow & Company,” 5/19/06)

The Washington Times Editorial: Senators Moved Social Security Closer To Insolvency By Offering Benefits To Illegals. “On its way to bankruptcy, Social Security will get there a bit sooner… During the Senate debate on immigration reform in May, Mr. Ensign proposed that no illegal alien whose status would be adjusted by the Senate bill be permitted to receive Social Security benefits as a result of unlawful activity. … In addition to Messrs. McCain, Hagel and Brownback, other still-serving Republicans who opposed the Ensign amendment, which lost by a 50-49 vote, included Sens. Lindsey Graham, Richard Lugar, Mel Martinez, Arlen Specter, Ted Stevens and George Voinovich.” (Editorial, “Social Security Siphon,” The Washington Times, 1/5/07)

Rush Limbaugh: Sen. McCain Supported Social Security Benefits For Illegals Who Used Fraud To Obtain Social Security Cards. “[Sen. McCain] was one of the senators that voted to go ahead and allow Social Security benefits to be paid to people who had used identity fraud to get their Social Security number. … Senator McCain, none of the others that support this will recognize or acknowledge any of the negative aspects of this, of the stolen Social Security numbers. … Imagine that his Social Security number is swiped and that his identity is stolen. I’ll guarantee you he would have an entirely different view of this.” (Rush Limbaugh Website, www.rushlimbaugh.com, Posted 5/22/06)

 

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This arrived today – Evans-Novak Prediction

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January 2, 2008
Washington, DC
Vol. 43, No. 1a

To: Our Readers

Iowa Caucuses

Iowa voters tomorrow night will go to their local precinct caucuses to cast their lot with a presidential candidate. The winner is hardly guaranteed his party’s nomination — in fact, it’s possible that neither Iowa winner will come out as the favorite for the nomination — but the caucuses will certainly be the end of the road for some candidates.

Here are our analyses of the races as they stand now and the most likely outcomes:

Republicans: This is a two-way contest between former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney and former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee. The battle for third place is among former Sen. Fred Thompson (Tenn.), Sen. John McCain (Ariz.), and Rep. Ron Paul (Tex.). Former New York Mayor Rudy Giuliani is not even spending this week in Iowa. Instead, he is campaigning in New Hampshire.

  1. Ever since finishing second in the Iowa straw poll last August, Huckabee steadily climbed here in Iowa, aided by his evangelical pedigree, his sincerity and the fresh-face factor, and less critical press coverage than any other candidate. Polls of likely Republican caucus-goers consistently showed Huckabee ahead throughout December, but more recent surveys are a mixed bag, showing slippage by Huckabee.
  2. Polling the caucuses is notoriously difficult, because caucusing, unlike voting in a primary, can take all night. Turnout is a bigger commitment, and it’s harder to predict. While pollsters try to correct for this, the room for error is huge.
  3. Romney is close or leading in the post-Christmas polls. This is probably good enough for him. He has a much bigger team in Iowa and much more money to spend than do Huckabee and the other Republican candidates. Romney’s campaign should be better than Huckabee’s at getting its supporters to their caucuses.
  4. Huckabee, however, has two potential caucus-night advantages. First, he enjoys more enthusiastic support than does Romney, who, for many Iowa Republicans, is just the most electable or the most acceptable of the top-tier candidates. Huckabee, by contrast, has a strong core of dedicated voters who share his religious views. Huckabee has recently come under a steady barrage of criticism by economic conservatives and a constant drubbing by Romney’s well-financed campaign.
  5. Two weeks ago, we wrote that Thompson was the “X-Factor.” Most Iowa Republicans hadn’t given him much thought as of mid-December, but he has spent the last two-and-a-half weeks in the Hawkeye State. Post-Christmas polls do not show a big spike, but he does seem to poll even with McCain for third place. A decent third-place finish for either of these men would be a boost going into New Hampshire.
  6. Ron Paul could make a splash, as well. He’s in fifth place in most polls, but his supporters are unmatched in enthusiasm and dedication. A third-place finish for Paul is not out of the question.
  7. The most likely outcome appears to be:
      1st Place: Mitt Romney
      2nd Place: Mike Huckabee
      3rd Place: Fred Thompson
      4th Place: John McCain

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