First let’s talk about the Democratic voters. The first problem is that there is no real democratic contest in Michigan. Barack and Edwards, from what I understand, are not even on the ballot. So what do Democrats do? They play strategically of course.
And what is strategic for the Dems? It is helping the Republicans nominate the most beatable candidate in November. And who is that?
So not only is Mike going to get the votes from the evangelicals, he is going to get the vote from most of the democratic voters who care enough to vote.
And then he goes on to explain that the other problem of Michigan is the power of the Independents. These peopl, like in New Hampshire, just like they have no core values, go for McCain – the guy who is anything but conservative. So here you have Iowa who was biased by the kool-aid drinking evangelicals who blindly vote for Huckabee without using their brains on studying his liberal agenda. Next you get New Hampshire Independents with this affinity for a rude, emotional disturbed and statistically demented candidate: John McCain.
So these two groups have the main influence of Michigan’s primary.
So let’s now introduce the master of all conservative electoral analysis: Rush Limbaugh
Will Democrats and Independents Dec ide the GOP Nomination? January 10, 2008
“The Arizona senator might be able to all but knock Romney out of the race in Michigan with another strong showing among independents, meaning he could possibly KO Romney without ever beating him handily among Republicans. Weird, huh? Then, with Romney gone, McCain is presumably competing with Huckabee and Rudy (although Fred is still lurking) for those conservative voters and that’s a fight he could well win.” Now, this is really fascinating, and it also illustrates how the little people actually knew before all these primaries began. All this hype about who has to win where and who has to win what, is meaningless — except for what I said. You have Iowa, New Hampshire, two states that do not feature conservatives.
This is why we repeatedly point out here that the states that allow independents and even Democrats to vote in their Republican primaries are not indicative of the Republican Party, which is why McCain and Huckabee have shots in them. McCain and Huckabee are winning these early states, where Republicans are outnumbered. It’s not Republicans; it’s not conservatives in majority who were electing Huckabee or McCain, so far, voting for them. Michigan is the same.